Biden vs. Trump polls, Arizona
Trump has a 5.8% lead based on 39 polls.
May 9, 2024
Trump
48.7%
Biden
42.9%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
39 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, May 8, 12:03 PM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 – 30 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 52.3%Trump 47.7%Biden | +5 Trump |
| Apr 21 – 22 | 874 RV | Kaplan Strategies | 47.0%Trump 43.0%Biden | +4 Trump |
| Apr 15 – 22 | 630 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 51.3%Trump 39.7%Biden | +12 Trump |
| Apr 9 – 14 | 801 RV | Bloomberg News/Morni... | 49.0%Trump 42.0%Biden | +7 Trump |
| Apr 8 – 12 | 400 LV | Fabrizio, Lee & Asso... | 48.0%Trump 44.0%Biden | +4 Trump |
| Mar 30 – Apr 4 | 600 RV | Independent Center/B... | 44.0%Trump 38.0%Biden | +6 Trump |
| Mar 29 – Apr 1 | 503 RV | RABA Research | 39.0%Trump 36.0%Biden | +3 Trump |
| Mar 18 – 25 | 600 RV | Wall Street Journal/... | 47.0%Trump 42.0%Biden | +5 Trump |
| Mar 13 – 20 | 401 RV | Echelon Insights/The... | 51.0%Trump 45.0%Biden | +6 Trump |
| Mar 15 – 18 | 600 LV | North Star Opinion R... | 46.0%Trump 42.0%Biden | +4 Trump |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Joe Biden
Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.
