Biden vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. polls, Arizona
Trump has a 5.5% lead based on 36 polls.
Jul 1, 2024
![Photograph of Trump](https://data.ddhq.io/election_center/candidates/trump.png)
Trump
42.8%
![Photograph of Biden](https://data.ddhq.io/election_center/candidates/biden.png)
Biden
37.3%
![Photograph of Kennedy](https://data.ddhq.io/election_center/candidates/kennedy.png)
Kennedy
9.0%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... RFK Jr. is not currently on the general election ballot in every state. He is in the process of petitioning states in order to be granted access. Nonetheless, polling including RFK Jr. has still been conducted state by state and this page reflects that.
36 polls
Latest Poll: Mon, Jul 1, 10:37 AM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jun 18 – 21 | 600 LV | North Star Opinion R... | 42.0%Trump 32.0%Biden 13.0%Kennedy | +10 Trump |
Jun 12 – 21 | 650 LV | P2 Insights/Building... | 47.0%Trump 36.0%Biden 7.0%Kennedy | +11 Trump |
Jun 14 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 42.7%Trump 39.3%Biden 7.7%Kennedy | +3 Trump |
Jun 12 – 14 | 750 LV | Rasmussen Reports | 41.0%Trump 37.0%Biden 10.0%Kennedy | +4 Trump |
Jun 9 – 12 | 430 LV | Redfield & Wilton St... | 40.0%Trump 38.0%Biden 6.0%Kennedy | +2 Trump |
Jun 2 – 5 | 1,095 RV | Beacon Research/Shaw... | 46.0%Trump 41.0%Biden 8.0%Kennedy | +5 Trump |
May 29 – Jun 5 | 600 LV | Fabrizio Lee/AARP | 45.0%Trump 37.0%Biden 11.0%Kennedy | +8 Trump |
May 20 – 22 | 609 RV | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 38.8%Trump 36.6%Biden 9.1%Kennedy | +2 Trump |
May 14 – 22 | 650 LV | P2 Insights/Building... | 41.0%Trump 38.0%Biden 9.0%Kennedy | +3 Trump |
May 10 – 17 | 490 RV | Prime Group/Citizens... | 44.0%Trump 40.0%Biden 11.0%Kennedy | +4 Trump |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
![Donald Trump headshot](https://data.ddhq.io/election_center/candidates/trump.png)
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
![Joe Biden headshot](https://data.ddhq.io/election_center/candidates/biden.png)
Joe Biden
Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.
![RFK Jr. headshot](https://data.ddhq.io/election_center/candidates/kennedy.png)
RFK Jr.
RFK Jr., or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an American environmental lawyer and activist. As the son of Robert F. Kennedy, former U.S. Attorney General and Senator from New York, and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he has a deep-seated connection to American politics. However, he has primarily focused his career on environmental advocacy, co-founding the Waterkeeper Alliance, an organization dedicated to clean water. He has often stirred controversy, particularly with his vocal skepticism towards vaccines.