Biden vs. Trump polls, Arizona
Trump has a 4.8% lead based on 51 polls.
Jul 3, 2024
Trump
49.2%
Biden
44.4%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
51 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Jul 3, 6:58 AM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18 – 21 | 600 LV | North Star Opinion R... | 48.0%Trump 42.0%Biden | +6 Trump |
| Jun 14 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 52.0%Trump 48.0%Biden | +4 Trump |
| Jun 12 – 14 | 750 LV | Rasmussen Reports | 47.0%Trump 40.0%Biden | +7 Trump |
| Jun 2 – 5 | 1,095 RV | Beacon Research/Shaw... | 51.0%Trump 46.0%Biden | +5 Trump |
| May 29 – Jun 5 | 600 LV | Fabrizio Lee/AARP | 50.0%Trump 44.0%Biden | +6 Trump |
| May 20 – 22 | 609 RV | Florida Atlantic Uni... | 41.2%Trump 40.9%Biden | +0 Trump |
| May 11 – 17 | 1,193 LV | YouGov/CBS News | 52.0%Trump 47.0%Biden | +5 Trump |
| May 10 – 17 | 490 RV | Prime Group/Citizens... | 51.0%Trump 49.0%Biden | +2 Trump |
| May 8 – 15 | 1,003 RV | Noble Predictive Ins... | 44.0%Trump 41.0%Biden | +3 Trump |
| May 7 – 14 | 527 LV | BSG/GS Strategy Grou... | 45.0%Trump 44.0%Biden | +1 Trump |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Joe Biden
Joe Biden is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the 46th President of the United States. Before his presidency, he served as Vice President under President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017. Prior to that, he represented the state of Delaware in the U.S. Senate, holding that seat from 1973 to 2009. Biden's extensive political career has focused on issues such as foreign policy, criminal justice, and civil rights.
