Harris vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. polls, Arizona
Trump has a 1.8% lead based on 20 polls.
Dec 11, 2024
Trump
48.2%
Harris
46.4%
Kennedy
0.0%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
A bit of background... RFK Jr. is not currently on the general election ballot in every state. He is in the process of petitioning states in order to be granted access. Nonetheless, polling including RFK Jr. has still been conducted state by state and this page reflects that.
20 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 – 30 | 610 LV | Mitchell Research & ... | 48.5%Trump 47.4%Harris 1.2%Kennedy | +1 Trump |
| Oct 8 – 11 | 808 RV | Siena College Poll/N... | 49.0%Trump 44.0%Harris | +5 Trump |
| Sep 29 – Oct 9 | 600 RV | Fabrizio Lee/GBAO/Wa... | 47.0%Harris 45.0%Trump | +2 Harris |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the Vice President of the United States. Before her vice presidency, she served as Senator for the state of California. Prior to that, she was the Attorney General for California.
RFK Jr.
RFK Jr., or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an American environmental lawyer and activist. As the son of Robert F. Kennedy, former U.S. Attorney General and Senator from New York, and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he has a deep-seated connection to American politics. However, he has primarily focused his career on environmental advocacy, co-founding the Waterkeeper Alliance, an organization dedicated to clean water. He has often stirred controversy, particularly with his vocal skepticism towards vaccines.
