California 45 House polls, Steel vs. Tran
Tran has a 2.8% lead based on 5 polls.
Dec 14, 2024
Tran
48.5%
Steel
45.7%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
5 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 – 16 | 400 LV | Normington Petts/DCC... | 48.0%Tran 45.0%Steel | +3 Tran |
| Sep 15 – 22 | 498 LV | Center for Urban Pol... | 47.9%Tran 46.1%Steel | +2 Tran |
| Sep 15 – 20 | 600 LV | Tulchin Research/Der... | 47.0%Tran 45.0%Steel | +2 Tran |
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The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
