California GOP primary polls
Trump has a 53.3% lead based on 25 polls.
Jul 1, 2024
Trump
73.4%
Haley
20.1%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
25 polls
Latest Poll: Mon, Jul 1, 10:37 AM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1 – 4 | 151 LV | FAU/Mainstreet Resea... | 75.5%Trump 24.5%Haley | +51 Trump |
| Mar 1 – 4 | 180 RV | FAU/Mainstreet Resea... | 64.4%Trump 21.0%Haley | +43 Trump |
| Feb 25 – 28 | 342 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 74.5%Trump 16.8%Haley | +58 Trump |
| Feb 23 – 28 | 1,053 RV | UC Berkeley | 75.0%Trump 15.0%Haley | +60 Trump |
| Feb 23 – 28 | 1,053 LV | Berkeley IGS | 75.0%Trump 15.0%Haley | +60 Trump |
| Feb 16 – 18 | 685 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 72.0%Trump 20.0%Haley | +52 Trump |
| Feb 7 – 14 | 274 LV | PPIC | 64.0%Trump 17.0%Haley | +47 Trump |
| Feb 7 – 14 | 274 LV | PPIC | 69.0%Trump 29.0%Haley | +40 Trump |
| Jan 24 – Feb 5 | 1,095 RV | Morning Consult | 83.0%Trump 16.0%Haley | +67 Trump |
| Jan 22 – 30 | 1,416 LV | USC Dornsife/CSU | 66.0%Trump 24.0%Haley | +42 Trump |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Nikki Haley
Nikki Haley is an American politician and diplomat who served as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations from 2017 to 2018. Prior to that, she was the Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, becoming South Carolina's first female and first minority governor. Haley is a member of the Republican Party and a notable figure within it. She started her political career as a member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from 2005 to 2011.
