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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Arizona 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Andy Biggs has a 98% chance of winning Arizona 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Andy Biggs

INCUMBENT

98%

Katrina Schaffner

2%

Chance of winning Arizona 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Arizona 5

Cook PVI

R+11.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Andy Biggs

Cash on hand

$412,689

Raised

$830,239

Spent

$723,897

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Katrina Schaffner

Cash on hand

$7,579

Raised

$5,426

Spent

$1,628

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Arizona 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Arizona House 05Vote %Total Votes

Andy Biggs

56.74%

182,464

Javier Ramos

37.39%

120,243

Clint Smith

5.86%

18,851

Debra Jo Borden

0.01%

32

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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