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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

California 10 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Mark Desaulnier has a >99% chance of winning California 10.

CandidatePartyWin %

Mark Desaulnier

INCUMBENT

>99%

Katherine Piccinini

<1%

Chance of winning California 10 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 10

Cook PVI

D+17.9

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Mark Desaulnier

Cash on hand

$647,063

Raised

$176,280

Spent

$340,491

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Katherine Piccinini

Cash on hand

$3,138

Raised

$11,274

Spent

$9,948

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 10. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 10Vote %Total Votes

Mark DeSaulnier

78.93%

198,415

Michael Ernest Kerr

21.07%

52,965

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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