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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

California 20 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Michael Boudreaux / Vince Fong has a >99% chance of winning California 20.

CandidatePartyWin %

Michael Boudreaux / Vince Fong

>99%

Democrat

<1%

Chance of winning California 20 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 20

Cook PVI

R+15.6

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Vince Fong

Cash on hand

$108,855

Raised

$1,163,397

Spent

$1,590,582

Date

June 10, 2024

Candidate

Michael Boudreaux

Cash on hand

$74,893

Raised

$445,260

Spent

$382,114

Date

June 10, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 20. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 20Vote %Total Votes

Kevin McCarthy

67.25%

153,844

Marisa Wood

32.75%

74,932

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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