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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Colorado 4 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Lauren Boebert has a 99% chance of winning Colorado 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

Lauren Boebert

99%

Trish Calvarese

1%

Chance of winning Colorado 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Colorado 4

Cook PVI

R+12.8

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Lauren Boebert

Cash on hand

$681,348

Raised

$3,287,013

Spent

$3,862,104

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Trish Calvarese

Cash on hand

$53,247

Raised

$130,181

Spent

$85,834

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Colorado 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Colorado House 04Vote %Total Votes

Ken Buck

60.94%

216,024

Ike McCorkle

36.56%

129,619

Ryan J. McGonigal

2.50%

8,870

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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