Sponsored content

Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Colorado 8 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Yadira Caraveo has a 75% chance of winning Colorado 8.

CandidatePartyWin %

Yadira Caraveo

INCUMBENT

75%

Gabe Evans

25%

Chance of winning Colorado 8 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Colorado 8

Cook PVI

R+0.5

Last Winner

Democrat

5 polls

Oct 25 – 27

485 LV

Emerson College Poll...
47.5%

Caraveo

45.8%

Evans

+2 Caraveo

Sep 30 – Oct 2

525 LV

Emerson College Poll...
44.0%

Evans

44.0%

Caraveo

TIE

Sep 21 – 26

600 LV

Colorado Community R...
46.0%

Caraveo

42.0%

Evans

+4 Caraveo

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Yadira Caraveo

Cash on hand

$2,330,966

Raised

$2,514,133

Spent

$992,831

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Gabe Evans

Cash on hand

$225,068

Raised

$472,593

Spent

$420,980

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Colorado 8. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Colorado House 08Vote %Total Votes

Yadira Caraveo

48.38%

114,377

Barbara Kirkmeyer

47.69%

112,745

Richard Ward

3.93%

9,280

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories