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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Florida 24 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Frederica Wilson has a >99% chance of winning Florida 24.

CandidatePartyWin %

Frederica Wilson

INCUMBENT

>99%

Lavern Spicer

<1%

Chance of winning Florida 24 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 24

Cook PVI

D+24.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Frederica Wilson

Cash on hand

$546,314

Raised

$97,805

Spent

$282,711

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Lavern Spicer

Cash on hand

$760

Raised

$18,867

Spent

$18,113

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 24. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Florida House 24Vote %Total Votes

Frederica Wilson

71.79%

133,442

Jesus G. Navarro

28.21%

52,449

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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