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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Florida 28 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Carlos Gimenez has a 98% chance of winning Florida 28.

CandidatePartyWin %

Carlos Gimenez

INCUMBENT

98%

Phil Ehr

2%

Chance of winning Florida 28 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 28

Cook PVI

R+2.4

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Carlos Gimenez

Cash on hand

$1,012,447

Raised

$259,443

Spent

$430,671

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Phil Ehr

Cash on hand

$48,484

Raised

$906,986

Spent

$929,028

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 28. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Florida House 28Vote %Total Votes

Carlos A. Gimenez

63.68%

134,457

Robert Asencio

36.31%

76,665

Jeremiah Schaffer

0.01%

28

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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