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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Florida 3 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Kat Cammack has a >99% chance of winning Florida 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kat Cammack

INCUMBENT

>99%

Danielle Hawk

<1%

Chance of winning Florida 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Florida 3

Cook PVI

R+9.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kat Cammack

Cash on hand

$761,534

Raised

$739,182

Spent

$875,976

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Florida 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Florida House 03Vote %Total Votes

Kat Cammack

62.52%

178,101

Danielle Hawk

36.29%

103,382

Linda S. Brooks

1.20%

3,410

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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