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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Michigan 11 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Haley Stevens has a >99% chance of winning Michigan 11.

CandidatePartyWin %

Haley Stevens

INCUMBENT

>99%

Charles Frangie

<1%

Chance of winning Michigan 11 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Michigan 11

Cook PVI

D+7.4

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Haley Stevens

Cash on hand

$581,102

Raised

$772,380

Spent

$865,187

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 11. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Michigan House 11Vote %Total Votes

Haley Stevens

61.32%

224,537

Mark Ambrose

38.68%

141,642

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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