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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Michigan 4 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that William Huizenga has a 93% chance of winning Michigan 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

William Huizenga

INCUMBENT

93%

Jessica Swartz

7%

Chance of winning Michigan 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Michigan 4

Cook PVI

R+4.7

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

William Huizenga

Cash on hand

$1,179,445

Raised

$665,072

Spent

$788,498

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jessica Swartz

Cash on hand

$127,005

Raised

$364,075

Spent

$249,070

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Michigan House 04Vote %Total Votes

Bill Huizenga

54.36%

183,936

Joseph Alfonso

42.47%

143,690

Lorence R. Wenke

2.51%

8,478

Curtis Michael Clark

0.66%

2,244

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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