Sponsored content

Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Michigan 9 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Lisa McClain has a >99% chance of winning Michigan 9.

CandidatePartyWin %

Lisa McClain

INCUMBENT

>99%

Clinton St Mosley

<1%

Chance of winning Michigan 9 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Michigan 9

Cook PVI

R+17.5

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Lisa McClain

Cash on hand

$544,735

Raised

$415,769

Spent

$1,261,498

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Clinton St Mosley

Cash on hand

$407

Raised

$320

Spent

$448

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 9. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Michigan House 09Vote %Total Votes

Lisa McClain

63.90%

238,300

Brian Jaye

33.17%

123,702

Jim Walkowicz

1.76%

6,571

Jake Kelts

1.17%

4,349

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories