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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Nevada 1 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Dina Titus has a 85% chance of winning Nevada 1.

CandidatePartyWin %

Dina Titus

INCUMBENT

85%

Mark Robertson

15%

Chance of winning Nevada 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Nevada 1

Cook PVI

D+2.6

Last Winner

Democrat

2 polls

Aug 26 – 29

280 LV

Emerson College Poll...
46.7%

Titus

31.7%

Robertson

+15 Titus

Aug 4 – 6

211 LV

Decipher Ai
44.1%

Titus

38.4%

Robertson

+6 Titus

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Dina Titus

Cash on hand

$1,055,537

Raised

$679,395

Spent

$348,285

Date

May 22, 2024

Candidate

Mark Robertson

Cash on hand

$70,319

Raised

$82,367

Spent

$204,706

Date

May 22, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nevada 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Nevada House 01Vote %Total Votes

Dina Titus

51.57%

115,700

Mark Robertson

45.96%

103,115

Ken Cavanaugh

2.47%

5,534

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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