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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

New York 11 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Nicole Malliotakis has a 93% chance of winning New York 11.

CandidatePartyWin %

Nicole Malliotakis

INCUMBENT

93%

Andrea Morse

7%

Chance of winning New York 11 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York 11

Cook PVI

R+5.8

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Nicole Malliotakis

Cash on hand

$1,192,402

Raised

$1,099,461

Spent

$1,124,793

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Andrea Morse

Cash on hand

$50,981

Raised

$119,004

Spent

$68,023

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 11. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York House 11Vote %Total Votes

Nicole Malliotakis

61.77%

115,992

Max N. Rose

38.23%

71,801

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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