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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

New York 13 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Adriano Espaillat has a >99% chance of winning New York 13.

CandidatePartyWin %

Adriano Espaillat

INCUMBENT

>99%

Republican

<1%

Chance of winning New York 13 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York 13

Cook PVI

D+37.8

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Adriano Espaillat

Cash on hand

$587,853

Raised

$763,548

Spent

$490,573

Date

June 5, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 13. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York House 13Vote %Total Votes

Adriano Espaillat

100.00%

116,589

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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