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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

New York 5 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Gregory Meeks has a >99% chance of winning New York 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Gregory Meeks

INCUMBENT

>99%

Paul King

<1%

Chance of winning New York 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New York 5

Cook PVI

D+30.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Gregory Meeks

Cash on hand

$2,231,367

Raised

$784,913

Spent

$1,777,715

Date

June 5, 2024

Candidate

Paul King

Cash on hand

$4,965

Raised

$8,608

Spent

$8,488

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New York House 05Vote %Total Votes

Gregory Meeks

75.21%

104,396

Paul King

24.79%

34,407

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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