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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

North Carolina 14 House Forecast safe gop POTENTIAL FLIP

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Tim Moore has a 97% chance of winning North Carolina 14.

CandidatePartyWin %

Tim Moore

97%

Pamela Genant

3%

Chance of winning North Carolina 14 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About North Carolina 14

Cook PVI

R+10.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Tim Moore

Cash on hand

$719,834

Raised

$1,579,584

Spent

$1,064,249

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Pamela Genant

Cash on hand

$3,479

Raised

$14,733

Spent

$11,855

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Carolina 14. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 North Carolina House 14Vote %Total Votes

Jeff Jackson

57.71%

148,738

Pat Harrigan

42.29%

109,014

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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