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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Ohio 15 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Mike Carey has a 94% chance of winning Ohio 15.

CandidatePartyWin %

Mike Carey

INCUMBENT

94%

Adam Miller

6%

Chance of winning Ohio 15 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Ohio 15

Cook PVI

R+5.9

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Mike Carey

Cash on hand

$857,788

Raised

$521,894

Spent

$767,964

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Adam Miller

Cash on hand

$105,487

Raised

$30,423

Spent

$50,786

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Ohio 15. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Ohio House 15Vote %Total Votes

Mike Carey

56.96%

143,112

Gary Josephson

43.04%

108,139

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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