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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Texas 10 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Michael McCaul has a >99% chance of winning Texas 10.

CandidatePartyWin %

Michael McCaul

INCUMBENT

>99%

Theresa Boisseau

<1%

Chance of winning Texas 10 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 10

Cook PVI

R+12.6

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Michael McCaul

Cash on hand

$590,503

Raised

$1,136,630

Spent

$2,205,435

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Theresa Boisseau

Cash on hand

$9,987

Raised

$18,371

Spent

$28,404

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 10. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 10Vote %Total Votes

Michael McCaul

63.30%

159,469

Linda Nuno

34.30%

86,404

Bill Kelsey

2.41%

6,064

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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