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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Texas 28 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Henry Cuellar has a 89% chance of winning Texas 28.

CandidatePartyWin %

Henry Cuellar

INCUMBENT

89%

Jay Furman

11%

Chance of winning Texas 28 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 28

Cook PVI

D+3.2

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Henry Cuellar

Cash on hand

$415,433

Raised

$884,630

Spent

$1,592,794

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jay Furman

Cash on hand

$2,013

Raised

$42,033

Spent

$193,466

Date

May 8, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 28. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 28Vote %Total Votes

Henry Cuellar

56.65%

93,803

Cassy Garcia

43.35%

71,778

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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