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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Washington 2 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Rick Larsen has a >99% chance of winning Washington 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Rick Larsen

INCUMBENT

>99%

Leifd Johnson

<1%

Chance of winning Washington 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Washington 2

Cook PVI

D+9.3

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Rick Larsen

Cash on hand

$867,799

Raised

$594,768

Spent

$904,991

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Leifd Johnson

Cash on hand

$418

Raised

$1,450

Spent

$3,179

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Washington 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Washington House 02Vote %Total Votes

Rick Larsen

60.18%

202,980

Dan Matthews

39.82%

134,335

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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