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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Washington 3 House Forecast lean gop POTENTIAL FLIP

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Joseph Kent has a 68% chance of winning Washington 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Joseph Kent

68%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

INCUMBENT

32%

Chance of winning Washington 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Washington 3

Cook PVI

R+4.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Cash on hand

$3,028,214

Raised

$3,311,547

Spent

$1,188,773

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Joseph Kent

Cash on hand

$632,979

Raised

$223,664

Spent

$468,433

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Washington 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Washington House 03Vote %Total Votes

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

50.41%

160,314

Joe Kent

49.59%

157,685

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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