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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Washington 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Michael Baumgartner has a 95% chance of winning Washington 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Michael Baumgartner

95%

Ann Marie Danimus

5%

Chance of winning Washington 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Washington 5

Cook PVI

R+7.7

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Michael Baumgartner

Cash on hand

$363,324

Raised

$393,634

Spent

$39,509

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Ann Marie Danimus

Cash on hand

$13,468

Raised

$129,300

Spent

$127,585

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Washington 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Washington House 05Vote %Total Votes

Cathy McMorris Rodgers

59.65%

188,648

Natasha Hill

40.35%

127,585

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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