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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Wisconsin 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Scott Fitzgerald has a >99% chance of winning Wisconsin 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Scott Fitzgerald

INCUMBENT

>99%

Christopher Leon

<1%

Chance of winning Wisconsin 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Wisconsin 5

Cook PVI

R+14.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Scott Fitzgerald

Cash on hand

$764,156

Raised

$315,656

Spent

$383,669

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Wisconsin 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Wisconsin House 05Vote %Total Votes

Scott Fitzgerald

64.43%

243,741

Mike Van Someren

35.57%

134,581

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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