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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Indiana Senate Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Jim Banks has a 97% chance of winning Indiana.

CandidatePartyWin %

Jim Banks

97%

Valerie McCray

3%

Chance of winning Indiana Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Indiana

Cook PVI

R+11.0

Last Winner

Republican

5 polls

Oct 6 – 29

400 LV

ActiVote
57.4%

Banks

42.6%

McCray

+15 Banks

Sep 4 – Oct 6

400 LV

ActiVote
56.1%

Banks

43.9%

McCray

+12 Banks

Sep 24 – 26

600 LV

ARW Strategies/IndyP...
49.0%

Banks

35.0%

McCray

+14 Banks

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Jim Banks

Cash on hand

$2,878,793

Raised

$3,232,377

Spent

$3,188,816

Date

April 17, 2024

Candidate

Valerie McCray

Cash on hand

$1,296

Raised

$13,381

Spent

$15,701

Date

April 17, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Indiana. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Indiana Senate Vote %Total Votes

Todd Young

58.62%

1,090,390

Thomas McDermott

37.87%

704,480

James Sceniak

3.43%

63,823

Daniel Niederberger

0.07%

1,294

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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