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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Maine Senate Forecast likely ind

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Angus King has a 92% chance of winning Maine.

CandidatePartyWin %

Angus King

92%

Demi Kouzounas

8%

Chance of winning Maine Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Maine

Cook PVI

D+2.0

Last Winner

Democrat

5 polls

Oct 30 – Nov 3

1,455 RV

University of New Ha...
50.0%

King

35.0%

Kouzounas

+15 King

Oct 25 – 30

1,079 LV

SurveyUSA/Bangor Dai...
54.0%

King

28.0%

Kouzounas

+26 King

Sep 6 – 16

812 LV

Pan Atlantic Researc...
53.0%

King

23.0%

Kouzounas

+30 King

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Angus King

Cash on hand

$2,807,726

Raised

$2,763,082

Spent

$1,366,170

Date

May 22, 2024

Candidate

Demi Kouzounas

Cash on hand

$244,981

Raised

$142,711

Spent

$55,731

Date

May 22, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Maine. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Maine Senate Vote %Total Votes

Susan M. Collins

51.00%

417,645

Sara I. Gideon

42.40%

347,223

Lisa Savage

4.95%

40,579

Max Linn

1.65%

13,508

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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