| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Josh Hawley INCUMBENT | 97% | |
Lucas Kunce | 3% |
Chance of winning Missouri Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Missouri
Cook PVI
R+10.0
Last Winner
Republican
13 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 – 4 | 432 LV | Research Co. | 54.0%Hawley 43.0%Kunce | +11 Hawley |
| Oct 7 – 28 | 400 LV | ActiVote | 56.3%Hawley 43.7%Kunce | +13 Hawley |
| Oct 24 – 27 | 600 LV | GQR/IAFF Local 2665 | 49.0%Hawley 46.0%Kunce | +3 Hawley |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Hawley | $5,484,798 | $3,786,712 | $5,363,217 | March 31, 2024 | |
Lucas Kunce | $3,303,699 | $7,621,089 | $4,395,006 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$5,484,798
Raised
$3,786,712
Spent
$5,363,217
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$3,303,699
Raised
$7,621,089
Spent
$4,395,006
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Missouri. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Missouri Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Eric Schmitt | 55.43% | 1,146,966 |
Trudy Busch Valentine | 42.18% | 872,694 |
Jonathan Dine | 1.68% | 34,821 |
Paul Venable | 0.71% | 14,608 |
2022 Missouri Senate
Eric Schmitt
Vote %
55.43%
Total Votes
1,146,966
2022 Missouri Senate
Trudy Busch Valentine
Vote %
42.18%
Total Votes
872,694
2022 Missouri Senate
Jonathan Dine
Vote %
1.68%
Total Votes
34,821
2022 Missouri Senate
Paul Venable
Vote %
0.71%
Total Votes
14,608
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
