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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

North Dakota Senate Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Kevin Cramer has a >99% chance of winning North Dakota.

CandidatePartyWin %

Kevin Cramer

INCUMBENT

>99%

Katrina Christiansen

<1%

Chance of winning North Dakota Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About North Dakota

Cook PVI

R+20.0

Last Winner

Republican

6 polls

Sep 29 – Oct 1

500 LV

WPA Intelligence/Nor...
51.0%

Cramer

29.0%

Christiansen

+22 Cramer

Sep 24 – 27

500 LV

Lake Research Partne...
49.0%

Cramer

40.0%

Christiansen

+9 Cramer

Sep 23 – 25

521 LV

WPA Intelligence/Kev...
60.0%

Cramer

31.0%

Christiansen

+29 Cramer

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kevin Cramer

Cash on hand

$2,891,154

Raised

$1,972,174

Spent

$1,463,616

Date

May 22, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Dakota. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 North Dakota Senate Vote %Total Votes

John Hoeven

56.48%

135,474

Katrina Christiansen

25.01%

59,995

Rick Becker

18.51%

44,406

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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