| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Tim Sheehy | 83% | |
Jon Tester INCUMBENT | 17% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning undefined over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
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Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jon Tester | $4,144,353 | $72,333,997 | $82,407,204 | October 16, 2024 | |
Tim Sheehy | $3,877,050 | $19,174,545 | $22,284,630 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$4,144,353
Raised
$72,333,997
Spent
$82,407,204
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$3,877,050
Raised
$19,174,545
Spent
$22,284,630
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for . By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Steve Daines | 55.01% | 333,174 |
Steve Bullock | 44.99% | 272,463 |
2020 Senate
Steve Daines
Vote %
55.01%
Total Votes
333,174
2020 Senate
Steve Bullock
Vote %
44.99%
Total Votes
272,463
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
