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Alabama 5 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Dale Strong has a >99% chance of winning Alabama 5.

CandidatePartyWin %

Dale Strong

INCUMBENT

>99%

Democrat

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Alabama 5 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Alabama 5

Cook PVI

R+16.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Dale Strong

Cash on hand

$651,393

Raised

$628,765

Spent

$619,384

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Alabama 5. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Alabama House 05Vote %Total Votes

Dale Strong

67.20%

142,435

Kathy Warner-Stanton

29.60%

62,740

P.J. Greer

3.20%

6,773

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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