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Arizona 3 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Raquel Teran has a >99% chance of winning Arizona 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Raquel Teran

>99%

Jeffrey Zink

<1%

Chance of winning Arizona 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Arizona 3

Cook PVI

D+24.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Raquel Teran

Cash on hand

$447,986

Raised

$745,870

Spent

$408,903

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jeffrey Zink

Cash on hand

$15,337

Raised

$14,132

Spent

$47,899

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Arizona 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Arizona House 03Vote %Total Votes

Ruben Gallego

76.98%

108,599

Jeff Zink

23.02%

32,475

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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