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Arkansas 2 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that French Hill has a >99% chance of winning Arkansas 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

French Hill

INCUMBENT

>99%

Marcus Jones

<1%

Chance of winning Arkansas 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Arkansas 2

Cook PVI

R+9.0

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

French Hill

Cash on hand

$1,976,233

Raised

$931,669

Spent

$1,081,998

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Marcus Jones

Cash on hand

$25,339

Raised

$114,251

Spent

$88,913

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Arkansas 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Arkansas House 02Vote %Total Votes

French Hill

60.04%

147,975

Quintessa Hathaway

35.26%

86,887

Michael White

4.70%

11,584

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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