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California 11 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Nancy Pelosi has a >99% chance of winning California 11.

CandidatePartyWin %

Nancy Pelosi

INCUMBENT

>99%

Brucec Lou

<1%

Chance of winning California 11 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 11

Cook PVI

D+36.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Nancy Pelosi

Cash on hand

$3,540,994

Raised

$5,163,137

Spent

$5,621,328

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Brucec Lou

Cash on hand

$2,587

Raised

$30,548

Spent

$63,051

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 11. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 11Vote %Total Votes

Nancy Pelosi

83.95%

220,848

John Dennis

16.05%

42,217

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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