California 11 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Nancy Pelosi has a >99% chance of winning California 11.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Nancy Pelosi INCUMBENT		>99%
Brucec Lou		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning California 11 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 11

Cook PVI

D+36.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Nancy Pelosi	$2,398,291	$8,104,858	$9,906,086	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Brucec Lou	$8,505	$89,889	$186,273	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Nancy Pelosi

Cash on hand

$2,398,291

Raised

$8,104,858

Spent

$9,906,086

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Brucec Lou

Cash on hand

$8,505

Raised

$89,889

Spent

$186,273

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 11. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.