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California 12 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Lateefah Simon / Jennifer Tran has a >99% chance of winning California 12.

CandidatePartyWin %

Lateefah Simon / Jennifer Tran

>99%

Republican

<1%

Chance of winning California 12 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 12

Cook PVI

D+39.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Lateefah Simon

Cash on hand

$213,818

Raised

$1,154,308

Spent

$1,056,524

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jennifer Tran

Cash on hand

$12,052

Raised

$154,497

Spent

$167,770

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 12. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 12Vote %Total Votes

Barbara Lee

90.47%

217,110

Stephen Slauson

9.53%

22,859

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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