California 18 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Zoe Lofgren has a >99% chance of winning California 18.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Zoe Lofgren INCUMBENT		>99%
Peter Hernandez		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning California 18 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 18

Cook PVI

D+21.4

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Zoe Lofgren	$338,874	$1,387,810	$2,290,846	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Peter Hernandez	$13,964	$183,591	$176,197	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Zoe Lofgren

Cash on hand

$338,874

Raised

$1,387,810

Spent

$2,290,846

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Peter Hernandez

Cash on hand

$13,964

Raised

$183,591

Spent

$176,197

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 18. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.