| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Jay Obernolte INCUMBENT | 98% | |
Derek Marshall | 2% |
Chance of winning California 23 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 23
Cook PVI
R+7.7
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jay Obernolte | $998,827 | $369,329 | $341,518 | March 31, 2024 | |
Derek Marshall | $95,478 | $380,115 | $311,214 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$998,827
Raised
$369,329
Spent
$341,518
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$95,478
Raised
$380,115
Spent
$311,214
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 23. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 23 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Jay Obernolte | 61.03% | 103,197 |
Derek Marshall | 38.97% | 65,908 |
2022 California House 23
Jay Obernolte
Vote %
61.03%
Total Votes
103,197
2022 California House 23
Derek Marshall
Vote %
38.97%
Total Votes
65,908
+ More Elections
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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
