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California 32 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Brad Sherman has a >99% chance of winning California 32.

CandidatePartyWin %

Brad Sherman

INCUMBENT

>99%

Larry Thompson

<1%

Chance of winning California 32 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 32

Cook PVI

D+19.5

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Brad Sherman

Cash on hand

$3,477,027

Raised

$646,866

Spent

$661,957

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Larry Thompson

Cash on hand

$7,812

Raised

$33,682

Spent

$70,870

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 32. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 32Vote %Total Votes

Brad Sherman

69.17%

167,411

Lucie Lapointe Volotzky

30.83%

74,618

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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