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California 38 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Linda Sanchez has a >99% chance of winning California 38.

CandidatePartyWin %

Linda Sanchez

INCUMBENT

>99%

Eric Ching

<1%

Chance of winning California 38 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 38

Cook PVI

D+14.3

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Linda Sanchez

Cash on hand

$670,254

Raised

$314,853

Spent

$823,160

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Eric Ching

Cash on hand

$17,815

Raised

$16,205

Spent

$4,823

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 38. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 38Vote %Total Votes

Linda T. Sánchez

58.09%

101,260

Eric J. Ching

41.91%

73,051

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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