| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Mike Thompson INCUMBENT | >99% | |
John Munn | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning California 4 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 4
Cook PVI
D+16.7
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Thompson | $1,358,219 | $802,545 | $2,543,524 | October 16, 2024 | |
John Munn | $2,883 | $30,601 | $136,510 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,358,219
Raised
$802,545
Spent
$2,543,524
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$2,883
Raised
$30,601
Spent
$136,510
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 04 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Mike Thompson | 67.80% | 176,900 |
Matt Brock | 32.20% | 84,007 |
2022 California House 04
Mike Thompson
Vote %
67.80%
Total Votes
176,900
2022 California House 04
Matt Brock
Vote %
32.20%
Total Votes
84,007
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
