| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Ken Calvert INCUMBENT | 54% | |
Will Rollins | 46% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning California 41 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 41
Cook PVI
R+3.2
Last Winner
Republican
3 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 – 22 | 539 LV | Center for Urban Pol... | 47.8%Calvert 47.4%Rollins | +0 Calvert |
| Sep 6 – 13 | 450 LV | RMG Research/U.S. Te... | 41.0%Rollins 35.0%Calvert | +6 Rollins |
| May 2 – 7 | 600 LV | David Binder Researc... | 45.0%Rollins 44.0%Calvert | +1 Rollins |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Rollins | $2,275,505 | $9,141,788 | $9,280,266 | October 16, 2024 | |
Ken Calvert | $1,752,324 | $4,457,800 | $5,849,254 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$2,275,505
Raised
$9,141,788
Spent
$9,280,266
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,752,324
Raised
$4,457,800
Spent
$5,849,254
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 41. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 41 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Ken Calvert | 52.35% | 123,869 |
Will Rollins | 47.65% | 112,769 |
2022 California House 41
Ken Calvert
Vote %
52.35%
Total Votes
123,869
2022 California House 41
Will Rollins
Vote %
47.65%
Total Votes
112,769
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
