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California 41 House Forecast likely gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Ken Calvert has a 81% chance of winning California 41.

CandidatePartyWin %

Ken Calvert

INCUMBENT

81%

Will Rollins

19%

Chance of winning California 41 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 41

Cook PVI

R+3.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Will Rollins

Cash on hand

$3,161,353

Raised

$3,960,245

Spent

$1,658,255

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Ken Calvert

Cash on hand

$2,639,377

Raised

$2,601,108

Spent

$1,825,606

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 41. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 41Vote %Total Votes

Ken Calvert

52.35%

123,869

Will Rollins

47.65%

112,769

+ More Elections

Featured Races

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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