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California 44 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Nanette Barragan has a >99% chance of winning California 44.

CandidatePartyWin %

Nanette Barragan

INCUMBENT

>99%

Roger Groh

<1%

Chance of winning California 44 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 44

Cook PVI

D+24.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Nanette Barragan

Cash on hand

$1,539,059

Raised

$221,007

Spent

$781,353

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 44. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 44Vote %Total Votes

Nanette Diaz Barragan

72.21%

100,160

Paul Jones

27.79%

38,554

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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