| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Dave Min | 50% | |
Scott Baugh | 50% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning California 47 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 47
Cook PVI
D+3.3
Last Winner
Democrat
4 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 – 19 | 401 LV | WPA Intelligence/Sco... | 43.0%Baugh 40.0%Min | +3 Baugh |
| Sep 15 – 22 | 525 LV | Center for Urban Pol... | 48.6%Baugh 45.9%Min | +3 Baugh |
| Jun 9 – 21 | 800 LV | WPA Intelligence/Sco... | 42.0%Baugh 39.0%Min | +3 Baugh |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scott Baugh | $1,006,486 | $2,791,679 | $3,138,443 | October 16, 2024 | |
Dave Min | $515,179 | $5,355,183 | $5,606,552 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,006,486
Raised
$2,791,679
Spent
$3,138,443
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$515,179
Raised
$5,355,183
Spent
$5,606,552
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 47. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 47 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Katie Porter | 51.72% | 137,374 |
Scott Baugh | 48.28% | 128,261 |
2022 California House 47
Katie Porter
Vote %
51.72%
Total Votes
137,374
2022 California House 47
Scott Baugh
Vote %
48.28%
Total Votes
128,261
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
