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California 48 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Darrell Issa has a 99% chance of winning California 48.

CandidatePartyWin %

Darrell Issa

INCUMBENT

99%

Stephen Houlahan

1%

Chance of winning California 48 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 48

Cook PVI

R+9.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Darrell Issa

Cash on hand

$1,178,273

Raised

$503,829

Spent

$532,036

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Stephen Houlahan

Cash on hand

$9,261

Raised

$18,642

Spent

$20,616

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 48. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 48Vote %Total Votes

Darrell Issa

60.36%

155,171

Stephen Houlahan

39.64%

101,900

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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