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California 49 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Mike Levin has a 89% chance of winning California 49.

CandidatePartyWin %

Mike Levin

INCUMBENT

89%

Matt Gunderson

11%

Chance of winning California 49 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 49

Cook PVI

D+3.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Mike Levin

Cash on hand

$1,534,067

Raised

$2,215,695

Spent

$1,488,798

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Matt Gunderson

Cash on hand

$138,101

Raised

$560,367

Spent

$1,344,734

Date

April 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 49. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 California House 49Vote %Total Votes

Mike Levin

52.63%

153,541

Brian Maryott

47.37%

138,194

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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