| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Mike Levin INCUMBENT | 89% | |
Matt Gunderson | 11% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning California 49 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 49
Cook PVI
D+3.1
Last Winner
Democrat
5 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 – Nov 1 | 574 LV | SurveyUSA/KGTV-TV/Sa... | 51.0%Levin 38.0%Gunderson | +13 Levin |
| Oct 6 – 9 | 400 LV | 1892 Polling/NRCC | 46.0%Levin 45.0%Gunderson | +1 Levin |
| Oct 3 – 7 | 617 LV | SurveyUSA/KGTV-TV/Sa... | 53.0%Levin 41.0%Gunderson | +12 Levin |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Levin | $856,905 | $3,954,643 | $4,378,277 | October 16, 2024 | |
Matt Gunderson | $143,501 | $941,148 | $4,024,412 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$856,905
Raised
$3,954,643
Spent
$4,378,277
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$143,501
Raised
$941,148
Spent
$4,024,412
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 49. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 49 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Mike Levin | 52.63% | 153,541 |
Brian Maryott | 47.37% | 138,194 |
2022 California House 49
Mike Levin
Vote %
52.63%
Total Votes
153,541
2022 California House 49
Brian Maryott
Vote %
47.37%
Total Votes
138,194
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
