| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Sara Jacobs INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Bill Wells | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning California 51 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 51
Cook PVI
D+11.6
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sara Jacobs | $171,497 | $494,850 | $1,594,010 | October 16, 2024 | |
Bill Wells | $24,054 | $740,493 | $742,531 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$171,497
Raised
$494,850
Spent
$1,594,010
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$24,054
Raised
$740,493
Spent
$742,531
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 51. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 51 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Sara Jacobs | 61.86% | 144,186 |
Stan Caplan | 38.14% | 88,886 |
2022 California House 51
Sara Jacobs
Vote %
61.86%
Total Votes
144,186
2022 California House 51
Stan Caplan
Vote %
38.14%
Total Votes
88,886
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
